weather

[huntfish]

Anybody else sweating this morning, nice to be in a tree. I would rather it be frosty though.

 

[Beardendy88]

This weather has been rough for us out here. The deer movement just ain't there

 

[huntfish]

Yes here to, think the weather is supposed to cool off this weekend.

 

[BSK]

Looks like a good cold front is forecast for Saturday, Oct. 27. However, I'm concerned about the very long-range forecast for opening of MZ. Of course, forecasting that far out is a real crap-shoot.

 

[pseshooter300]

It was chilly here this morning had frost yesterday morning it was 35 on the truck temp yesterday but that is at 4500 foot elevation in carter county

 

[Elmer]

Yes I have swamp as* just from sitting here

 

[Bone Collector]

Looks like a good cold front is forecast for Saturday, Oct. 27. However, I'm concerned about the very long-range forecast for opening of MZ. Of course, forecasting that far out is a real crap-shoot.

funny you mention that BSK, because 3 days ago Accuweather had a good forecast for opening weekend of ML and said this weekend would be warm until Sunday night. I remember looking at it this weekend again, and saw the cool down predicted this Saturday night vs. Sunday, but did not look ahead. Forecasting more than 2 days ahead seems to be a crap shoot if you ask me....

 

[pseshooter300]

Just checked the weather on the extended outlook but i know it is a long way off but through next Thursday looks like it is not gonna be over 48 it in the day in my hunting spot. Could be good for start of November

 

[BSK]

Looks like a good cold front is forecast for Saturday, Oct. 27. However, I'm concerned about the very long-range forecast for opening of MZ. Of course, forecasting that far out is a real crap-shoot.

funny you mention that BSK, because 3 days ago Accuweather had a good forecast for opening weekend of ML and said this weekend would be warm until Sunday night. I remember looking at it this weekend again, and saw the cool down predicted this Saturday night vs. Sunday, but did not look ahead. Forecasting more than 2 days ahead seems to be a crap shoot if you ask me....

Accuweather had been predicting awesome weather for the first few days of MZ (highs in the mid 50s, lows around freezing). But today they switched to highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s and lows in the mid 40s.


Honestly, if you rely purely on the GFS models with no interpretation, the forecast out to 8 days is pretty good.

 

[Kingston]

When does MZ open in Tenn? Not until Nov 3rd in Va so we have a little time.

 

[BigD_625]

Same here. Nov 3.

 

[htnseymour]

Gonna be good and cold here in East TN Monday. Lows 35 with highs 48, I don't care how sick I have to pretend to be, i will out of work that day

 

[TNDeerGuy]

Looks like a good cold front is forecast for Saturday, Oct. 27. However, I'm concerned about the very long-range forecast for opening of MZ. Of course, forecasting that far out is a real crap-shoot.

funny you mention that BSK, because 3 days ago Accuweather had a good forecast for opening weekend of ML and said this weekend would be warm until Sunday night. I remember looking at it this weekend again, and saw the cool down predicted this Saturday night vs. Sunday, but did not look ahead. Forecasting more than 2 days ahead seems to be a crap shoot if you ask me....

Accuweather had been predicting awesome weather for the first few days of MZ (highs in the mid 50s, lows around freezing). But today they switched to highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s and lows in the mid 40s.


Honestly, if you rely purely on the GFS models with no interpretation, the forecast out to 8 days is pretty good.

I've been looking at their forecast since it came out for that weekend and it has been switching back and forth between lows in the 30's and highs in the 50's to lows in the upper 40's to high 60's/70's every day or so�long range models are not that reliable in my opinion.

 

[BSK]

I've been looking at their forecast since it came out for that weekend and it has been switching back and forth between lows in the 30's and highs in the 50's to lows in the upper 40's to high 60's/70's every day or so�long range models are not that reliable in my opinion.

I've been watching those Accuweather forecasts over time too. But it isn't the computer models that are to blame. It is the people interpretting them. Every forcaster uses the same selection of computer models to make their forecasts from. However, each person adds their own "spin" to what the models suggest will occur. It is the spin/interpretation that produces different forecasts, and unfortunately, where a lot of error occurs. If the forecasters would just stick to the models, they would do a lot better.

 

[Football Hunter]

Hope ite gonna be cold for muzzy

 

[bowriter]

Great week to take off and fish...and thas jus wha I am duing. Sac-a-lait is biting on Oh Chickory.

 

[BSK]

I noticed that Accuweather changed their forecast again, to a big front/storm moving through Friday into Saturday of opening weekend, with much colder temps after that.

The models I use are only 10-day models, so they only go out to Friday morning currently, but those models also suggest a big storm system forming in the Plains mid-week and moving east, but the models I use suggest slower progress of the storm system, probably not arriving in TN until late Saturday or into Sunday.

Either way, they are both indicating a big storm that will bring cooler weather. Timing is now the issue.

 

[Redfred16]

I'm hoping that the weather holds as Accuweather has it now. I hoping to make Friday the first time I sit in the woods.

It should also have the deer up Saturday afternoon and Sunday for the kids.

 

[Stalkhunter]

I see Accu weather showing rain and colder in K-town Rain, 2-5th of Nov. it wil change in a few hours lol. My prediction is there will be some kind of weathr opening day of MZ when I wake up.

 

[JCDEERMAN]

I noticed that Accuweather changed their forecast again, to a big front/storm moving through Friday into Saturday of opening weekend, with much colder temps after that.

The models I use are only 10-day models, so they only go out to Friday morning currently, but those models also suggest a big storm system forming in the Plains mid-week and moving east, but the models I use suggest slower progress of the storm system, probably not arriving in TN until late Saturday or into Sunday.

Either way, they are both indicating a big storm that will bring cooler weather. Timing is now the issue.

That's better than nothing!

 

[Elmer]

I was dog tired when I laid down... Now wide awake double checking per muzzy lists

 

[easttnbuckmaster]

I was riding my treestand the other mornin and every weather thing I looked at for my area said 0mph with 2mph gusts and the wind was blowing every bit of 10-15mph. I wasn't happy. At least they had the direction right.

 

[MUP]

I noticed that Accuweather changed their forecast again, to a big front/storm moving through Friday into Saturday of opening weekend, with much colder temps after that.

The models I use are only 10-day models, so they only go out to Friday morning currently, but those models also suggest a big storm system forming in the Plains mid-week and moving east, but the models I use suggest slower progress of the storm system, probably not arriving in TN until late Saturday or into Sunday.

Either way, they are both indicating a big storm that will bring cooler weather. Timing is now the issue.

IF that's the case, then I believe opening day should be a good one!