BSK said:
However, I suspect you're just experiencing the "normal" shift in patterns that occurs from summer to fall. Their travel routes can change very suddenly at this time, leaving cameras that were highly productive during summer catching very little right now.
And based on my "anecdotal" evidence, but over decades of observations, and the current weather forecast . . . . .
I'm predicting a
MAJOR buck dispersal in West & Middle TN to occur between the night of Tuesday (Sept 18) and the morning of Thursday (Sept 20). Bachelor groups will break, and localized buck populations will scatter much like a flushed covey of quail.
Why am I saying this?
Because we're having two consecutive nights (Tue & Wed) with temperatures dipping into the low 40's, and this is the most significant weather event since most bucks shed their velvet. Prior to (and during) the rut, there is something about much colder than normal weather that greatly stimulates buck movement. Another contributing factor to more linear distance movement is the wet ground (enabling quieter deer movement that seems to motivate more movement).
At this time of freshly shed velvet and hard antler, the buck movement will largely be in terms of massive dispersal, particularly in bachelor groups breaking up, particularly in bucks shifting from summer to fall seasonal ranges, and particularly in yearling bucks dispersing miles from their birth areas. True, there are other factors, such as falling acorns, but the cold temps of Tue & Wed nights trump everything else in terms of "when".
It's happening this week, just a couple days before the TN archery opener. So don't count on bucks you've been regularly getting pics being around. Some years this "shift" happens in mid-Sept, others in mid-to-late October. On the bright side, no telling what you may see this weekend.
If you bowhunt in West/Middle KY, this Wednesday is a good day to spend
ALL day on stand in a travel corridor location (such as a ridgeline saddle crossing). Would highly recommend bowhunting all day Wed and until noon on Thursday!