What are the odds of being drawn for and Elk Tag?

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Don't quote me but I thought I heard somewhere that about 9000 people put in for it which puts your odds of drawing at .00011 times 4 or 5 tags.
 
To increase your chances move to East TN, seems most drawn are on that side of the state[emoji12]


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AT Hiker":2m8w71kq said:
To increase your chances move to East TN, seems most drawn are on that side of the state[emoji12]


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As a Westerner (of Tennessee that is) I would say you have a 0.000000000000000001% chance if you live west of Nashville.................
 
I think they may have added a tag this year for bow only. You can try to draw both. It didn't say if you got the bow hunt you couldn't get the rifle hunt.

I don't know how may bow tags there are. I think there are still 4 rifle tags. I also heard, over 10,000 people apply. for a rifle tag with 10,000 applicants, your odds are .0004% of getting a tag.
 
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I wonder if they intentionally favor the E. TN applicants knowing they have better odds on the hunt because they can handle the hills better. Or are yall just starting some East vs West BS. :D I need to put in for my hunts asap. As much as I'd like to do the PI doe hunt again, I think I will stick with my usual local draw hunts this year.
 
catman529":ih52qufl said:
I wonder if they intentionally favor the E. TN applicants knowing they have better odds on the hunt because they can handle the hills better. Or are yall just starting some East vs West BS. :D I need to put in for my hunts asap. As much as I'd like to do the PI doe hunt again, I think I will stick with my usual local draw hunts this year.



West Side!! :stir:
 
Even though the odds are very low of drawing a tag, I imagine that many hunters west of the TN river do not put in for it. When you consider that you will need time off to scout and hunt, probably hire a guide, secure funds for transportation and many overnight hotel rooms and meals, the whole experience will cost you hundreds up to a couple thousand dollars. It's still the cheapest elk hunt you would ever have but some hunters really don't care about killing an elk. I have a nice bull mounted already and no room on my walls for another one. I still put in for it however, I doubt I will ever book another elk hunt out of state.
 
catman529":3uokoub4 said:
I wonder if they intentionally favor the E. TN applicants knowing they have better odds on the hunt because they can handle the hills better. Or are yall just starting some East vs West BS. :D I need to put in for my hunts asap. As much as I'd like to do the PI doe hunt again, I think I will stick with my usual local draw hunts this year.

A person's geographic location in the star has ZEROto do with their chance of being drawn. It does not come into play at all in the quota drawing.

It is pretty obvious that a lot of folks in these threads slept through any discussions of statistics that they might have been exposed to in school.
 
csi-tech":2h11haum said:
It seems there is some political palm greasing involved in it too. Lots of well heeled folks killing our elk.


You do realize that since the beginning of the TN elk hunts that one permit has been set aside for sale to the highest bidder by a NGO? The NGO gets a small percentage for handling the auction and the rest goes back to TWRA to be used by the elk program.

The rest of the permits go into a normal lottery draw. I've seen no evidence at all of well-heeled anything with those permits.

The conspiracy theories are pretty laughable.
 
scn":126e08hf said:
csi-tech":126e08hf said:
It seems there is some political palm greasing involved in it too. Lots of well heeled folks killing our elk.


You do realize that since the beginning of the TN elk hunts that one permit has been set aside for sale to the highest bidder by a NGO? The NGO gets a small percentage for handling the auction and the rest goes back to TWRA to be used by the elk program.

The rest of the permits go into a normal lottery draw. I've seen no evidence at all of well-heeled anything with those permits.

The conspiracy theories are pretty laughable.

You probably think we landed on the moon too. :)
 

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