Cold front?

[woodsman04]

It has been a well above average October, that's for sure. And one of the driest on record. And it's looking like at least the first half of November will be well above average. Record breaking? Not even close. But well above average.

I read your other post, yes it's often hot in October and November.
But it still doesn't make me like it. My rut isn't until first few Days of December. So I won't hunt until it gets cold or the rut. I just don't enjoy it when it's hot.
and I hunt to have fun, no other reason. And when it's hot it isn't fun, plus all the insects, sweat, and whatever I have to deal with.

 

[DayDay]

I certainly don't like hot weather during MZ season (or any time during November). Hot weather negatively effects daylight deer movement. However, maybe not as bad as we think. Below are two graphs, November hunter collected buck observation rates for morning hunts based on the morning low temperature, and buck observation rates during afternoon hunts based on afternoon high temperature. In both cases, buck observation rates statistically decline the warmer the temperatures (black line is the statistical trend), but the decline is not so bad that it's not worth hunting in the warmest temperatures. From the coldest temperatures to the warmest, the decline basically cuts buck sightings in half, but it doesn't drop to zero or anything close to that. And even then, there are days with hot temps that were still good days, just not as many "good days" as during cooler temps. And by the way, this is 37 years of data from TN.

Thanks; I always appreciate your data.

Temperatures trend down throughout the month so I'm wondering how much these data points are influenced by time of the season (rut, food, and all that...) instead of the outside temperature.

Hunters with sweat in their eyes aren't going to see as many deer... :)

 

[BSK]

I read your other post, yes it's often hot in October and November.
But it still doesn't make me like it. My rut isn't until first few Days of December. So I won't hunt until it gets cold or the rut. I just don't enjoy it when it's hot.
and I hunt to have fun, no other reason. And when it's hot it isn't fun, plus all the insects, sweat, and whatever I have to deal with.

I hate hunting in the heat too. I hate the bugs, I hate sweating in the stand, I hate the reduced daylight activity.

I wasn't arguing that hot is good. I was arguing that everyone says, "This is the hottest I can ever remember." Exactly right - what you can remember. Unfortunately, our memory is actually quite terrible when it comes to things like that. We can barely remember last year, let alone years before that. Just Human Nature.

 

[BPhunter]

Again, our memories are poor, especially when it comes to the weather. I'll hear how hot a summer is - worst ever even - only to look at the data and see years where we had 15 days in a row over a 100. How bad the hurricanes or tornadoes are this year, but they were FAR worse in the 50s-60s and even 1920s.

Just last year it hit 81 degrees on November 8. The year before that, it hit 80 on November 8 and 9. In 2016 it hit 82 on October 30 and 83 on the 31st. I could go on and on.

People worry to damned much today because they listen to doom & gloomers!

 

[BSK]

Thanks; I always appreciate your data.

Temperatures trend down throughout the month so I'm wondering how much these data points are influenced by time of the season (rut, food, and all that...) instead of the outside temperature.

This data is from a property where the rut is the entire month of November. First week is the seeking phase, last week is the rut winding down. December is post-rut. 37 years of data, over 9,200 hours of hunting time. Lots of data from all periods of November.

Hunters with sweat in their eyes aren't going to see as many deer... :)

I hear that. What I really hate is swatting at mosquitoes.

 

[killingtime 41]

Once muzzleloader comes that's when my season really starts I bow hunt a little. But prefer a gun of some sort. Hopefully we'll get a break and get some cold weather soon

 

[vanleerbuckbuster]

Bucks don't care what the weather is. They get one time to breed a year. It's November get out and hunt and have fun

 

[vanleerbuckbuster]

Full disclosure. Not saying you will kill the biggest most mature bucks in your area but good solid bucks will be on there feet during daylight hours in the month November no matter the weather

 

[Dumbluck]

Motivation for hot weather both of these bucks were killed in very hot temperatures, both I believe in the 80s. The 8 I still hunted into his bedding area and he had a doe. I killed him at 12:30. The 10 I set up at the edge of a thicket he liked, he followed a doe out right before dark. Get out there and get after them. Good luck.

 

[Bgoodman30]

As I've said many times, human perception is heavily influenced by the fact we have very poor memories! The other day I posted numerous examples of days in the past 20 years when we had temps in November in the 80s. Just a few years ago we set all-time high temp records during MZ season (mid 80s).

Weather app for tomorrow high is 77 and says is near record high. So I'm assuming if it ever hits 80 it's a record high day….

Anyways this is making my mind up to move to Florida where I'll at least get that gulf breeze..

 

[Bgoodman30]

It's been terrible weather. I don't know if it's the worst ever but definitely tied.

I try not to complain about the weather, but this fall has been absolutely maddening minus the cold snap in mid October that lasted for like 4 days.
Absolutely maddening.

Yeah usually those extreme highs are followed by big fronts and good lows. This years it's just 79-60 every day..

 

[Bgoodman30]

In November, the average temperature in Middle Tennessee generally ranges from the mid-40s to mid-50s Fahrenheit (about 7°C to 13°C). Here's a breakdown:

• Average Highs: Around 58°F (14°C)
• Average Lows: Around 38°F (3°C)

Temperatures tend to cool down significantly through the month, with early November being warmer and late November typically bringing the first signs of winter. Cold fronts are common, and occasional frosty mornings are likely as nighttime temperatures dip toward freezing, especially later in the month.

In Middle Tennessee, the average frost dates vary slightly depending on the specific location, but generally fall within the following ranges:

• First Frost (Fall): Mid- to late October (around October 15 to October 30)
• Last Frost (Spring): Early to mid-April (around April 5 to April 15)

These dates can vary based on yearly weather patterns, so it's a good idea to check a local forecast or gardening resource, especially if you're planning planting or other temperature-sensitive activities. Frost dates can also be affected by elevation, with higher areas often experiencing earlier and later frost dates.

 

[Bgoodman30]

My memory is not off there is nothing normal about this year.

 

[BSK]

Weather app for tomorrow high is 77 and says is near record high. So I'm assuming if it ever hits 80 it's a record high day….

Anyways this is making my mind up to move to Florida where I'll at least get that gulf breeze..

In Nashville, record highs for this time of year are low 80s. We may see that a few days this week.

 

[BPhunter]

That was my dads answer to everything . I even had it put on his tractor canopy. He wasn't big on any excuses.

Yeah, I'm not big on excuses either, never have been.

 

[BPhunter]

The weather is always going to change. Some years hotter than normal some years average. Some years colder. Get over it.
Rocky mountains out my front door today....

 

[Iglow]

The weather is always going to change. Some years hotter than normal some years average. Some years colder. Get over it.
Rocky mountains out my front door today....
View attachment 250751

This. Warm in the east, cold in the west. Warm in the west, cold in the east. I've seen that pattern a bunch of times.

 

[BPhunter]

That was my dads answer to everything . I even had it put on his tractor canopy. He wasn't big on any excuses.

Yeah, I'm not big on excuses either, never have been.

Full disclosure. Not saying you will kill the biggest most mature bucks in your area but good solid bucks will be on there feet during daylight hours in the month November no matter the weather

Finally, words of wisdom. Thank you friend.

 

[Bgoodman30]

The weather is always going to change. Some years hotter than normal some years average. Some years colder. Get over it.
Rocky mountains out my front door today....
View attachment 250751

You seem to be living right!

 

[BPhunter]

You seem to be living right!

I don't know about living right. Just love the outdoors, and no people.

 

[TNGunsmoke]

Bring on the rain. I killed my biggest ever right after a rain squall moved through. And have killed a few nice ones during a drizzle/light rain.

The rain was good to me again. Short tines, but 17.5 wide

 

[backyardtndeer]

The rain was good to me again. Short tines, but 17.5 wide

Congratulations. While I don't care for this kind of weather for deer hunting, I have say least seen deer and some good movement, just not the right deer yet.