I'd love to say I trust a computer model over human selection committees but, someone had to write that code. So hard to avoid bias. Maybe we train an AI model with data from all teams' message boards. Even out the bias and hate across the board by using the same number of posts from each site. Next have the model look at the criteria the committee selected and seed accordingly. There will still be bias but it will be minimized. Finally, guard that model like it's Fort freaking Knox :)
Actually the BCS did utilize human input by incorporating the AP and Coaches polls.
The primary purpose of the BCS was to determine the top two teams, not the 12th best team. I'm not sure they'd have used the same formula for that purpose.
It did. Could incorporate that as well but take the committee nonsense out. The number of voters alone would cause the data to normalize. You'd still have bias to varying degrees but at least it wouldn't be a handful of folks in a room making decisions behind closed doors.
The thing about SOS that bothered me is by winning games you decrease your SOS, especially if you're handing a team its second or third loss. The only way you can beat a top 25 team and have an SOS that reflects the win as a TOP 25, is if they're ranked high enough to absorb the loss. It also doesn't take into account situations like injuries. Take NC state as an example. They were ranked in the top 25 when UT beat them, but the next game they lose their starter for the season and have to start a true freshman at QB for the rest of the year. Were they better when UT played them than they are now? Probably but I doubt that's reflected in SOS.
Agree. I'm not saying I have the solution to SOS but it needs to adapt from its current form. You'd imagine a good quality AI model that's fed all the stats could come up with something a bit easier to swallow than what we have now.
Ive not seen Oregon play at all and I have only watched one Texas game. Based on pure stats I tend to agree with you. They looked posed to take it all unless they run into something along the climb that happened with OSU at the michigan game where they just misteped
Almost feels architected don't it?
And look at the path after ND
That's the thing about Alabama making the playoffs. I hope they make it but it won't be a good look if they
the bed on the first game. If they go to Citrus bowl and win I think there would be more positivity about the program.
Yall(The whole NCAA ) has been begging for a for this for years. Live with it.
Tennessee IN. alabama OUT. Yes, I can live with that.
I agree. Looking at the top 12 this year you have a strong argument for 6 or 7 teams that have no business even sniffing at the playoffs. Some bottom feeder manages to get lucky and bust a bracket early and knock out a potential key team like Texas or OSU that has a legitimate run at it or they manage to injure a key player (s) on that team potentially hurting their chances at survival in the remaining brackets.
We went from 2 to 4 because arguments that #3 deserved a shot. We went from 4 to 12 because arguments #5 deserved a shot. When evaluating any "injustice" from arguments that #13 deserved a shot, it would probably be prudent to remember why we expanded to 12 teams, which is to not include teams that claim they deserved a shot at the playoff, but to include teams that deserved a shot at the title. In that regard, I think the 12 team playoff has achieved that purpose. There aren't any teams left out that deserve a shot at the title because they've gone deep enough to include teams that have no business being there.
