Food Plots Rain chance

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NChunt1

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Dec 16, 2019
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I see the forecast for this weekend is lowering the amount of rainfall they are now calling for. Tuesday is showing 0.6in. what do you guys think about the forecast for east TN for the next 10 days, is this going to be the best weekend to plant ?
 
I will be replanting friday, with chances if rain the next six days starting saturday, that maybe the best shot we get till October
That's what I'm thinking. Best chances I have seen in a while and I'm not sure that it'll get any better
 
Models this morning were a little more promising. All three models increased the amount of rain over the next 10 days. The Canadian has 1.83" at Jackson and 1.09" at Nashville. The European has 0.71" at Jackson and 1.19" at Nashville. The American (GFS) has 2.33" at Jackson and 0.53" at Nashville.
 
Models this morning were a little more promising. All three models increased the amount of rain over the next 10 days. The Canadian has 1.83" at Jackson and 1.09" at Nashville. The European has 0.71" at Jackson and 1.19" at Nashville. The American (GFS) has 2.33" at Jackson and 0.53" at Nashville.
So what do you think BSK is this weekend gonna be the most promising weekend to plant ? Considering planting into dust it can't be much worse
 
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I have both tractors ready. Seed ready and drag ready. Plots are already disced up. We are planting today- for our area. We have / chance this weekend a better chance next week. I figure the seed can lay for a week with no issue. Last 2 yrs i waited till september/october snd got zip
 
So what do you think BSK is this weekend gonna be the most promising weekend to plant ? Considering planting into dust it can't be much worse
I think it's a real risk planting now, but honestly, I don't think things are going to get better. Very long-range models suggest dry conditions will persist into November, especially for West TN.
 
I think it's a real risk planting now, but honestly, I don't think things are going to get better. Very long-range models suggest dry conditions will persist into November, especially for West TN.
Fri - Mon here around Watts Barr Dam, it's about a 25% chance and about a tenth each day. Tues/Wed, it's 60% chance and an inch cumulative. I was planning on broadcasting the seed and mowing Thursday, if it's wet I can't get the mower to the plot. Should I fertilize at the same time, or would it burn everything if we don't get more than 1/10 by Tuesday?
 
Models this morning were a little more promising. All three models increased the amount of rain over the next 10 days. The Canadian has 1.83" at Jackson and 1.09" at Nashville. The European has 0.71" at Jackson and 1.19" at Nashville. The American (GFS) has 2.33" at Jackson and 0.53" at Nashville.
Forecast I looked at this morning gives a slight chance for thunderstorms on Saturday and Sunday, gives better chances for rain on next Tuesday. About 30 minutes north of Jackson. I may broadcast some clover on Saturday. Then add water to the pool, wash my truck, and water garden.....
 
Fri - Mon here around Watts Barr Dam, it's about a 25% chance and about a tenth each day. Tues/Wed, it's 60% chance and an inch cumulative. I was planning on broadcasting the seed and mowing Thursday, if it's wet I can't get the mower to the plot. Should I fertilize at the same time, or would it burn everything if we don't get more than 1/10 by Tuesday?
Never waste money on fertilizer until after you know you have a good stand established
 
Models this afternoon are looking better.

I'm rolling the dice and planting the 6ac in plots I sprayed last Fri. Will spray the remaining ground tomorrow in anticipation of planting before the 2nd rain event next Tues. I'm willing to replant the first 6ac late Sept if needed. We NEED a tropical system to form in the gulf and move up!
 
Mowed last week and going to spray tomorrow. I'm hoping to get back within a day or so and plant before rain which is forecast for several days next week. Timing is critical to avoid what happened to me last year about this time. The rain came a day earlier than expected and caught me disking and planting in mud. Trying to drag and then cultipack mud is an exercise in frustration. If you're familiar with the rolling up snow to make a snowman technique then you can Envision what happens with mud and a cultipacker.
 
I planted last weekend and going to finish up Friday morning. Keeping my fingers crossed for the forecast.
 
Went all in pretty much….I have planted 6 of 10 plots so far. Gonna plant 3 more this afternoon. Will wait awhile for the final one, maybe 3 weeks or so
 
Rain chances moving up a tad for Sun and again Tues... Will prob try to get the rest planted Monday IF we get some rain over the weekend
 
I'm not sure what the NWS is seeing, but models have backed WAY off on rain for midweek next week. They've increased rain amounts for this weekend, but then don't have that Tuesday/Wednesday rain anymore. The models don't have rain again (for West TN) until the following weekend.
 
Yes, it's looking like no rain after this weekend for at least a week. The tropical low that was expected to form in the gulf and move up to TN isn't going to materialize after all.

I dug a hole to set an anchor post for a new shoothouse last weekend. Didn't hit ANY soil moisture until over 30in deep.
 
Im replanting saturday
IMG_4927.webp
 
Yes, it's looking like no rain after this weekend for at least a week. The tropical low that was expected to form in the gulf and move up to TN isn't going to materialize after all.
Models now have it along the Florida Atlantic Coast, bypassing us and drawing cooler but very dry air into the MidSouth from the New England States.

I dug a hole to set an anchor post for a new shoothouse last weekend. Didn't hit ANY soil moisture until over 30in deep.
Going to take a LOT of rain to recharge the soil. Don't expect soil moisture to be back to normal until winter.
 
I'm going to hold off on planting this weekend. It looks like a decent chance of rain Saturday, and I can't get away from work today or tomorrow to make the 2 1/2 hour drive to get everything planted ahead of the rain.

I disked all my plots a few weeks ago, and the dust was bad then. I know it will be terrible now until there is some moisture in the soil. I'm hoping to get some rain this weekend, then plant ahead of the next rain.
 
I'm going to hold off on planting this weekend. It looks like a decent chance of rain Saturday, and I can't get away from work today or tomorrow to make the 2 1/2 hour drive to get everything planted ahead of the rain.

I disked all my plots a few weeks ago, and the dust was bad then. I know it will be terrible now until there is some moisture in the soil. I'm hoping to get some rain this weekend, then plant ahead of the next rain.
The following weekend looks better than this weekend. Although, that's been the trend all summer. The good rain will be the following week's rain. Then the following week gets here and the models turn that rain into a sprinkle. :mad:
 

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