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Off Topic TN Forums
TWRA QUESTIONS
Elk Quota Hunt Results
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<blockquote data-quote="DeerCamp" data-source="post: 5869293" data-attributes="member: 21011"><p>If we were to do a traditional priority system, anybody who didn't apply in year 1 would never <strong>EVER, EVER have a chance of being drawn. </strong></p><p></p><p>According to an article I saw, there were over 12,000 applicants for the first 2009 hunt and only 4 permits drawn.</p><p></p><p>With 15 permits drawn per year now, it would take 800 years to burn through everyone with that first year priority point.</p><p></p><p></p><p>The problem with your scenario is that it's largely the same group of people putting in year after year, so the odds would not change because the number of total entries would increase at the same rate as your own entries.</p><p></p><p>So instead of a 1:900 chance of being drawn, you'd just b2 2:1800, 3:2700, etc.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="DeerCamp, post: 5869293, member: 21011"] If we were to do a traditional priority system, anybody who didn't apply in year 1 would never [B]EVER, EVER have a chance of being drawn. [/B] According to an article I saw, there were over 12,000 applicants for the first 2009 hunt and only 4 permits drawn. With 15 permits drawn per year now, it would take 800 years to burn through everyone with that first year priority point. The problem with your scenario is that it's largely the same group of people putting in year after year, so the odds would not change because the number of total entries would increase at the same rate as your own entries. So instead of a 1:900 chance of being drawn, you'd just b2 2:1800, 3:2700, etc. [/QUOTE]
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TWRA QUESTIONS
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