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Tennessee Hunting Forums
Long Beards & Spurs
3 bird limit???
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<blockquote data-quote="TheLBLman" data-source="post: 5875882" data-attributes="member: 1409"><p>I suspect the single #1 most significant factory has become</p><p><strong>Raptor Predation.</strong></p><p></p><p>The dynamics are continuously evolving & changing.</p><p>But raptor predation is now my #1 guess for at least the past several years.</p><p></p><p>Most "studies" collecting relevant "data" do not cover a long enough time horizon.</p><p>Five years is simply not long enough (for a more meaningful turkey population study)</p><p>because it's too easy for happenstance to be mistaken for relevance.</p><p></p><p>The past 2 years, TN had above average nesting success, above average poult survival.</p><p>This was largely due to favorable weather, i.e. "luck".</p><p>ALL the stars luckily aligned the best they could.</p><p></p><p>But such happenstance can greatly mislead our data interpretations.</p><p>The next couple years we may be "unlucky" with the weather,</p><p>and we're back to where we were 3 years ago.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="TheLBLman, post: 5875882, member: 1409"] I suspect the single #1 most significant factory has become [B]Raptor Predation.[/B] The dynamics are continuously evolving & changing. But raptor predation is now my #1 guess for at least the past several years. Most "studies" collecting relevant "data" do not cover a long enough time horizon. Five years is simply not long enough (for a more meaningful turkey population study) because it's too easy for happenstance to be mistaken for relevance. The past 2 years, TN had above average nesting success, above average poult survival. This was largely due to favorable weather, i.e. "luck". ALL the stars luckily aligned the best they could. But such happenstance can greatly mislead our data interpretations. The next couple years we may be "unlucky" with the weather, and we're back to where we were 3 years ago. [/QUOTE]
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3 bird limit???
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