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Tennessee Hunting Forums
Deer Hunting Forum
Need sincere advice on CWD management.
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<blockquote data-quote="DeerCamp" data-source="post: 5850868" data-attributes="member: 21011"><p>Alright, I did the math using exponential regression for Mature Bucks on the graph on the previous page. </p><p></p><p>You can't really estimate back to "0" because it doesnt have a natural logarithm, but we can estimate back to below 1%.</p><p></p><p>Based solely on the current growth rates known, I estimate that the time period of introduction of CWD in Tennessee was <strong>2001-2003.</strong></p><p></p><p>As you can see, this function also estimates a near 100% "infection" rate by <strong>2032</strong> in the region the data was from.</p><p></p><p>It also estimates the prevalence will be >50% in 2028. </p><p></p><p>[ATTACH=full]216308[/ATTACH]</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="DeerCamp, post: 5850868, member: 21011"] Alright, I did the math using exponential regression for Mature Bucks on the graph on the previous page. You can't really estimate back to "0" because it doesnt have a natural logarithm, but we can estimate back to below 1%. Based solely on the current growth rates known, I estimate that the time period of introduction of CWD in Tennessee was [B]2001-2003.[/B] As you can see, this function also estimates a near 100% "infection" rate by [B]2032[/B] in the region the data was from. It also estimates the prevalence will be >50% in 2028. [ATTACH type="full" alt="1708535520668.png"]216308[/ATTACH] [/QUOTE]
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Need sincere advice on CWD management.
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