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Tennessee Hunting Forums
Long Beards & Spurs
Fewer turkeys- debate- over a decade of harvest numbers....
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<blockquote data-quote="Boll Weevil" data-source="post: 5326134" data-attributes="member: 10006"><p>I've posted this in the past but the concept remains the same; though we may be killing the same average number of birds annually it's a greater percentage of the overall flock. 30k birds out of 300k total is 10%. 30k birds out of 250k total is 12%. 30k birds out of 200k total is 15% and so on and so forth. If the flock isn't replacing what we and natural mortality are removing, doesn't take a statistical genius to know where the flock is headed in the absence of intervention.</p><p></p><p>Having hunted 8 states I'll offer just one opinion (for the sake of comparison); MO used to be what I'd call an absolutely premier turkey hunting destination. If you look at the numbers below, even though they were still killing 44-48k birds from 2007-17, the overall population was in decline as year after year of poor poult recruitment took hold. In other words hunters were killing a larger and larger % of the available adult toms each spring that were not being replaced. Also saw jake harvest increase as maybe hunters just didn't want to eat a tag(s). In a sense the <strong>kill numbers were masking the reality as hunters just kept bangin'away...and then the bottom fell out.</strong></p><p></p><p>I remember folks in utter disbelief when that 35k total came in for 2018. Unfortunately TN could be in for a few upcoming years of utter disbelief.</p><p></p><p>2019 – 38,776 (2nd Lowest Harvest in 17 years)</p><p>2018 – 35,787 (Lowest Harvest in 16 years)</p><p>2017 – 43,356</p><p>2016 – 48,374</p><p>2015 – 48,432</p><p>2014 – 47,601</p><p>2013 – 46,141</p><p>2012 – 44,766</p><p>2011 – 42,220</p><p>2010 – 46,194</p><p>2009 – 44,713</p><p>2008 – 46,134</p><p>2007 – 48,472</p><p>2006 – 54,712</p><p>2005 – 57,743</p><p>2004 – 60,744 (Record harvest)</p><p>2003 – 58,421</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Boll Weevil, post: 5326134, member: 10006"] I've posted this in the past but the concept remains the same; though we may be killing the same average number of birds annually it's a greater percentage of the overall flock. 30k birds out of 300k total is 10%. 30k birds out of 250k total is 12%. 30k birds out of 200k total is 15% and so on and so forth. If the flock isn't replacing what we and natural mortality are removing, doesn't take a statistical genius to know where the flock is headed in the absence of intervention. Having hunted 8 states I'll offer just one opinion (for the sake of comparison); MO used to be what I'd call an absolutely premier turkey hunting destination. If you look at the numbers below, even though they were still killing 44-48k birds from 2007-17, the overall population was in decline as year after year of poor poult recruitment took hold. In other words hunters were killing a larger and larger % of the available adult toms each spring that were not being replaced. Also saw jake harvest increase as maybe hunters just didn't want to eat a tag(s). In a sense the [B]kill numbers were masking the reality as hunters just kept bangin'away...and then the bottom fell out.[/B] I remember folks in utter disbelief when that 35k total came in for 2018. Unfortunately TN could be in for a few upcoming years of utter disbelief. 2019 – 38,776 (2nd Lowest Harvest in 17 years) 2018 – 35,787 (Lowest Harvest in 16 years) 2017 – 43,356 2016 – 48,374 2015 – 48,432 2014 – 47,601 2013 – 46,141 2012 – 44,766 2011 – 42,220 2010 – 46,194 2009 – 44,713 2008 – 46,134 2007 – 48,472 2006 – 54,712 2005 – 57,743 2004 – 60,744 (Record harvest) 2003 – 58,421 [/QUOTE]
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Fewer turkeys- debate- over a decade of harvest numbers....
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