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#3626280 - 03/25/14 11:50 PM Predictions for a 2014 Bad Turkey hatch?
Thicketmaster
4 Point


Registered: 11/27/06
Posts: 419
Loc: eads,tn

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The way the weather has been this year what's everyone's opinion on this years hatch? With all the ice up north I think most major river bottoms will see flooding once the ice starts thawing. plus with the season opening this weekend and everything being so late I don't think much breeding is taking place now? I've heard that its TWRA Plan to not open the season every year till most the hens are bred then once the season opens if every male bird was killed we would still have the next generation because once a gobbler breeds a hen she stays breed to him for I think it's 28 days? So her whole clutch of eggs are fertile even if she's only bred once.i hope we have a good hatch this year I don't think we did last year in my area I never saw a single poult.
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#3626281 - 03/26/14 12:03 AM Re: Predictions for a 2014 Bad Turkey hatch? [Re: Thicketmaster]
deerhunter10
10 Point


Registered: 08/21/12
Posts: 3392
Loc: maury county tn

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I think itll be a good hatch. we had a good one here last year. just as long as no major flooding happens I think itll be good.
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#3626325 - 03/26/14 05:35 AM Re: Predictions for a 2014 Bad Turkey hatch? [Re: deerhunter10]
Setterman
8 Point


Registered: 12/31/09
Posts: 2381
Loc: Knoxville, TN

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At this point nothing has occurred to have a bad hatch, and vice versa. Way too early to be making prognostications.
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#3626348 - 03/26/14 06:18 AM Re: Predictions for a 2014 Bad Turkey hatch? [Re: Setterman]
Final steps TC
4 Point


Registered: 02/12/13
Posts: 375
Loc: Lenoir city

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You won't know anything until late May as far as a hatch goes and IMO you really won't know well until August
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#3626372 - 03/26/14 06:43 AM Re: Predictions for a 2014 Bad Turkey hatch? [Re: Final steps TC]
mountain man 71
10 Point


Registered: 10/08/09
Posts: 2562
Loc: Talbott Tn.

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I just hope for the best. \:\)
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#3626386 - 03/26/14 07:06 AM Re: Predictions for a 2014 Bad Turkey hatch? [Re: mountain man 71]
Rockhound
10 Point


Registered: 04/04/11
Posts: 2847
Loc: Lawrence Co. TN

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You can never really tell, I wasn't expecting much of a hatch last year but we have seen a load of Jakes where we hunt
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#3626403 - 03/26/14 07:29 AM Re: Predictions for a 2014 Bad Turkey hatch? [Re: Setterman]
redblood
16 Point


Registered: 01/22/06
Posts: 14782
Loc: Lewisburg

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 Originally Posted By: Setterman
At this point nothing has occurred to have a bad hatch, and vice versa. Way too early to be making prognostications.



true. a prediction now would be nothing more than a guess.
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#3626487 - 03/26/14 08:48 AM Re: Predictions for a 2014 Bad Turkey hatch? [Re: redblood]
SKFOOTER
4 Point


Registered: 11/26/13
Posts: 412
Loc: HARDEMAN COUNTY

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The hen's desire to breed is somewhat dictated by the increasing length of daylight regardless of the weather. I've had reports of turkeys breeding as much as 30 days ago so I would worry more about nest predation and flooding than I would the weather.
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#3626549 - 03/26/14 10:13 AM Re: Predictions for a 2014 Bad Turkey hatch? [Re: SKFOOTER]
Boll Weevil
8 Point


Registered: 06/26/11
Posts: 1225
Loc: Hardeman

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Just a theory and I don't know if it's backed up by science, but have long thought that ground temperature may have some impact on actual nesting (vs. breeding). Since hens can store sperm for quite some time, if breeding is underway (which I belive is indeed the case), there's hens waltzing around right now that are physiologically ready to begin laying. But, they might not start in earnest until ground temps rise/stabilize.

As I type this, it is 39 outside.

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#3626579 - 03/26/14 10:43 AM Re: Predictions for a 2014 Bad Turkey hatch? [Re: Boll Weevil]
Andy S.
TnDeer Old Timer
14 Point


Registered: 07/26/99
Posts: 7869
Loc: Atoka, TN

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 Originally Posted By: Boll Weevil
Just a theory and I don't know if it's backed up by science,
It's been a few years, but I have read one scientific article/research paper where the results suggested ground temperature did in deed play a role in nesting dates.
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Andy S.

If I had saved all the money I spent on hunting, I'd spend it on hunting.

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#3626662 - 03/26/14 12:08 PM Re: Predictions for a 2014 Bad Turkey hatch? [Re: Andy S.]
Cowman71
Spike


Registered: 02/27/14
Posts: 74
Loc: McMinn county, Tn

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 Originally Posted By: Andy S.
 Originally Posted By: Boll Weevil
Just a theory and I don't know if it's backed up by science,
It's been a few years, but I have read one scientific article/research paper where the results suggested ground temperature did in deed play a role in nesting dates.
I've heard David Austin and Lovett Williams mention this as well. Seems credible to me. As for breeding, I'm confident it has been going on for at least a couple of 2 or 3 weeks here, as well as in Georgia and even longer in Florida. Have hunted both of these states this year and have killed gobblers that came lookin for a hen ;\) Wasn't able to hunt Mississippi due to weather, but am heading to Chuck Swan this evening to try some Tennessee longbeards a couple of days early. Good luck to all.

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