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#3404451 - 10/16/13 05:55 AM BSK Weather Forecast?
WMAn
8 Point


Registered: 11/05/10
Posts: 1222
Loc: Williamson County

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BSK,

The Weather Channel and Accuweather are both predicting a cold snap next week starting on Wednesday, October 23 and extending through the weekend with daytime highs in the 60s and overnight lows in the 30s.

Is that what you are seeing too?
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#3404553 - 10/16/13 07:51 AM Re: BSK Weather Forecast? [Re: WMAn]
BSK
Jerkasourous of the non-typical kind
Non-Typical


Registered: 03/11/99
Posts: 65673
Loc: Nashville, TN

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The GFS model is still predicting a big cold snap the end of next week (Juvi weekend), with the coldest weather Saturday morning. Coldest morning so far this year.
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#3404558 - 10/16/13 07:54 AM Re: BSK Weather Forecast? [Re: BSK]
Dbllunger
10 Point


Registered: 12/08/04
Posts: 4840
Loc: Middle Tennessee

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I like the sound of this. My boys are pretty excited about the upcoming juvi hunt.
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#3404585 - 10/16/13 08:07 AM Re: BSK Weather Forecast? [Re: WMAn]
MUP
Non-Typical


Registered: 08/01/07
Posts: 45514
Loc: Just North of Chatt-town

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Just look at the Juvy weekend outlook from the WC. IF this holds to pattern, it's going to be one of the best weekends for Juvy in memory I believe! Only out to Fri on this chart, but if it holds, man, what a opener!

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#3404738 - 10/16/13 09:30 AM Re: BSK Weather Forecast? [Re: MUP]
KENBOB10
16 Point


Registered: 06/22/06
Posts: 13531
Loc: Benton tn. Polk Co.

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Nice!
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#3404744 - 10/16/13 09:34 AM Re: BSK Weather Forecast? [Re: KENBOB10]
BSK
Jerkasourous of the non-typical kind
Non-Typical


Registered: 03/11/99
Posts: 65673
Loc: Nashville, TN

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I'm trying to temper my excitement over that forecast by reminding myself the GFS model has a very bad habitat of exaggerating weather systems out at 9 and 10 days. Once the day I'm interested in falls within 7 days, I feel more confident about that model's predictions.
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"Know where you stand, and stand there" --Jesuit Father Daniel Berrigan

"There is no reasoning someone out of a position he has not reasoned himself into." --Clive James

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#3404804 - 10/16/13 10:19 AM Re: BSK Weather Forecast? [Re: BSK]
Unicam Administrator
Grumpaw
16 Point


Registered: 12/13/00
Posts: 19421
Loc: Dallas, GA. & Cookeville, TN

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Man, it seems like the first good cold snap is almost always on Juvi weekend. I like it!
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#3405193 - 10/16/13 02:26 PM Re: BSK Weather Forecast? [Re: Unicam]
Bone Collector
14 Point


Registered: 09/09/09
Posts: 9194
Loc: Murfreesboro, TN

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my philosophy with long range weather forecasts is to not put too much stock in them. i wait until 2 days before to start really looking at the weather, then within 24 hours of the hunt I start looking at wind with the optimistic view that the forecast MAY hold true. I still look at the wind in the morning when I get up, to be sure it hasn't changed It is nice to look out 10 days though and dream that it will be low 30's on a weekend...
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#3405208 - 10/16/13 02:33 PM Re: BSK Weather Forecast? [Re: Bone Collector]
BSK
Jerkasourous of the non-typical kind
Non-Typical


Registered: 03/11/99
Posts: 65673
Loc: Nashville, TN

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 Originally Posted By: Bone Collector
my philosophy with long range weather forecasts is to not put too much stock in them.


I don't put much stock in "forecasts." I only look at the raw computer model data that people make forecasts from. Out to 7 days, it is getting pretty good. Beyond 8 days, not so much.
_________________________
"Know where you stand, and stand there" --Jesuit Father Daniel Berrigan

"There is no reasoning someone out of a position he has not reasoned himself into." --Clive James

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#3405219 - 10/16/13 02:39 PM Re: BSK Weather Forecast? [Re: BSK]
woodsman87
8 Point


Registered: 09/27/12
Posts: 1312
Loc: south TN

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I have faith in 4-5 days but I have seen them change 7 day forecast too much. I just watch the local news channel weather.
I looked at the long term forecast, and it sure does excite you, with most of November being like 5-10 degrees below average!
Hopefully it will be the case.

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