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#336336 - 08/11/07 07:47 AM Weather forecast
BSK
Jerkasourous of the non-typical kind
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Registered: 03/11/99
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Loc: Nashville, TN

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Long range computer models are starting to suggest the possibility of rain next weekend. I'll keep an eye on it.

The models also suggest a bit of a breakdown in the upper level High Pressure system that has been sitting over us. That would provide more opportunity for afternoon thunderstorms.
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#336349 - 08/11/07 08:03 AM Re: Weather forecast [Re: BSK]
PRB
6 Point


Registered: 02/24/07
Posts: 656
Loc: Pinewood (Hickman County)

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Man I do hope so. I just pulled up the seven day forecast and I dont like the outlook. Just took a walk this mourning and standing next to the fence looking at my neighbors pastures and they are solid brown and this in the river bottom area. It was sad looking. There was some dew in a few spots this morning but not very much.
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#336360 - 08/11/07 08:23 AM Re: Weather forecast [Re: PRB]
BSK
Jerkasourous of the non-typical kind
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Registered: 03/11/99
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Loc: Nashville, TN

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The pastures--even the bottomland ones--look terrible in my area too. My lawn is burnt brown.

However, I've been amazed at how well the native weed species deer relly on at this time of year are doing, such as ragweed, desmodium and polk.

By the way PRB, I use different forecasting tools than the Weather Channel or Accuweather use.
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"Know where you stand, and stand there" --Jesuit Father Daniel Berrigan

"There is no reasoning someone out of a position he has not reasoned himself into." --Clive James

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#336474 - 08/11/07 10:00 AM Re: Weather forecast [Re: ]
PRB
6 Point


Registered: 02/24/07
Posts: 656
Loc: Pinewood (Hickman County)

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BSK....I didnt know you used forecasting tools. Do you have a pretty good or better (let say 2 to 5 day) forecast than others ?
psycho....What little amount Ive let grow up all year also seems to be helpng.
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#336735 - 08/11/07 05:29 PM Re: Weather forecast [Re: BSK]
Tenbears
6 Point


Registered: 12/08/03
Posts: 746
Loc: MUSIC CITY (BNA)

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 Originally Posted By: BSK
The pastures--even the bottomland ones--look terrible in my area too. My lawn is burnt brown.

However, I've been amazed at how well the native weed species deer relly on at this time of year are doing, such as ragweed, desmodium and polk.



I have a small field that seems to have what I think is polk, after talking to DoubleD and listeningt to him describe it to me. The deer are nawing it like crazy.
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#337125 - 08/12/07 07:16 AM Re: Weather forecast [Re: BSK]
HOOK
TnDeer Old Timer
16 Point


Registered: 05/01/99
Posts: 15754
Loc: Rutherford County, TN

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 Originally Posted By: BSK
I've been amazed at how well the native weed species deer relly on at this time of year are doing, such as ragweed, desmodium and polk.


Same here, I've kept a few areas of field high just to give them extra forage.
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#337271 - 08/12/07 10:07 AM Re: Weather forecast [Re: HOOK]
David J
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Registered: 03/10/99
Posts: 30014
Loc: Harrison,Tn USA

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And we always think we can do better than mother nature
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#337299 - 08/12/07 10:21 AM Re: Weather forecast [Re: David J]
BSK
Jerkasourous of the non-typical kind
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Registered: 03/11/99
Posts: 64800
Loc: Nashville, TN

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 Originally Posted By: David J
And we always think we can do better than mother nature


And that's a huge and growing problem David. See the "feeding" thread.
_________________________
"Know where you stand, and stand there" --Jesuit Father Daniel Berrigan

"There is no reasoning someone out of a position he has not reasoned himself into." --Clive James

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#337309 - 08/12/07 10:24 AM Re: Weather forecast [Re: PRB]
BSK
Jerkasourous of the non-typical kind
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Registered: 03/11/99
Posts: 64800
Loc: Nashville, TN

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 Originally Posted By: PRB
BSK....I didnt know you used forecasting tools. Do you have a pretty good or better (let say 2 to 5 day) forecast than others ?


I use the same computer models the NOAA forecasters use, but I may interpret them differently. Accuweather and the Weather Channel have their own in-house computer models, but they have proven to be not as accurate as the NOAA models.

I use the WRF model for 3 1/2-day forecasts and the GFS model for 10-day forecasts.
_________________________
"Know where you stand, and stand there" --Jesuit Father Daniel Berrigan

"There is no reasoning someone out of a position he has not reasoned himself into." --Clive James

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#338993 - 08/13/07 08:56 AM Re: Weather forecast [Re: BSK]
BigAl
16 Point


Registered: 07/31/01
Posts: 19069
Loc: Fayette County, TN US

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I hope you're right. Its so dry I caught a catfish the other day and it had a tick on it.
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