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#3329181 - 08/20/13 12:05 PM Re: Bama Proud winter prediction [Re: MUP]
BamaProud
12 Point


Registered: 04/03/11
Posts: 6893
Loc: Shelby County, TN

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In May they were forecasting above normal temperatures and near normal rainfall for June through Aug.

Here is their archives:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/pr...p.01.201307.gif
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#3329192 - 08/20/13 12:14 PM Re: Bama Proud winter prediction [Re: BamaProud]
MUP
Non-Typical


Registered: 08/01/07
Posts: 45118
Loc: Just North of Chatt-town

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Thanks!
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#3329199 - 08/20/13 12:21 PM Re: Bama Proud winter prediction [Re: BSK]
BamaProud
12 Point


Registered: 04/03/11
Posts: 6893
Loc: Shelby County, TN

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 Originally Posted By: BSK


The group of forecasters I follow nailed the summer forecast. On the flip side, they absolutely blew the spring forecast. Since I've been following their predictions (about three years), they've gotten 2 out of every three seasonal forecasts right (for our area and region).


Just curious who?
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#3329225 - 08/20/13 12:41 PM Re: Bama Proud winter prediction [Re: BamaProud]
Bowdacious
Skillet
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Registered: 09/01/00
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I'm predicting that it will rain right after a dry spell.
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#3329295 - 08/20/13 01:25 PM Re: Bama Proud winter prediction [Re: Bowdacious]
BamaProud
12 Point


Registered: 04/03/11
Posts: 6893
Loc: Shelby County, TN

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OK after going back and looking a little closer at their verification they actually do show a little skill in Climate forecasting. However I still maintain that they aren't very valuable other than for the sake of conversation. I doubt many people would do anything differently this year if they were 100% certain we would have a colder (or warmer) than normal winter. The same can be said for Hurricane season or Severe weather season.
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#3329334 - 08/20/13 02:02 PM Re: Bama Proud winter prediction [Re: BamaProud]
BSK
Jerkasourous of the non-typical kind
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Registered: 03/11/99
Posts: 65492
Loc: Nashville, TN

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 Originally Posted By: BamaProud
 Originally Posted By: BSK


The group of forecasters I follow nailed the summer forecast. On the flip side, they absolutely blew the spring forecast. Since I've been following their predictions (about three years), they've gotten 2 out of every three seasonal forecasts right (for our area and region).


Just curious who?


The seasonal forecasters from Accuweather, although their accuracy has gone down every since Joe Bastardi left.

Accuweather's daily, weekly, and monthly forecasts are terrible (the raw GFS model data is far superior), but their seasonal people are quite good.
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#3329422 - 08/20/13 03:08 PM Re: Bama Proud winter prediction [Re: BamaProud]
BamaProud
12 Point


Registered: 04/03/11
Posts: 6893
Loc: Shelby County, TN

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Looks like they hit the nail on the head with the rain...but not the Temperatures.
This was their Summer outlook(June through August) released at the same time the Climate Prediction Center released theirs.
May 06, 2013
http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/summer-forecast-drought-in-west-storms-east/11128877
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#3329621 - 08/20/13 06:23 PM Re: Bama Proud winter prediction [Re: Deer Whisperer]
greygoose
6 Point


Registered: 11/23/12
Posts: 621
Loc: memphis

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 Originally Posted By: Deer Whisperer
Has there been a prediction for what our winter will be like. I'm thinking that the fall will cool down fast because the water and land didn't get load up with a lot of heat this summer. Seems like this should make the winter colder than normal.
Of course, I'm probably full of crap for thinking like that. That's why I'm asking for professional help. \:D
professionel help?hell son dont you know were you are?
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#3329646 - 08/20/13 06:58 PM Re: Bama Proud winter prediction [Re: greygoose]
Deer Whisperer
10 Point


Registered: 04/16/05
Posts: 4475
Loc: Murfreesboro, TN

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Sure do, and it's not in Memphis! \:D
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#3329977 - 08/20/13 11:33 PM Re: Bama Proud winter prediction [Re: Deer Whisperer]
TAFKAP
14 Point


Registered: 11/06/09
Posts: 9563
Loc: Memphis

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Bama, what about the NOAA hurricane prediction guys? Laughing stock or legit?
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