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#3012965 - 11/02/12 04:02 PM Latest swing state polls - Nov 2
12 Point

Registered: 12/11/10
Posts: 6320
Loc: Dallas, TX & Signal Mtn, TN

Romney didn't win a single one of these swing state polls.

Latest Swing State Polls

November 02, 2012

Latest Swing State Polls
Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:

Colorado: Obama 46%, Romney 46% (Reuters/Ipsos)

Colorado: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)

Colorado: Obama 47%, Romney 45% (Denver Post/SurveyUSA)

Florida: Obama 48%, Romney 46% (Reuters/Ipsos)

Iowa: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (Gravis)

Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 47% (Rasmussen)

Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 44% (Mellman)

New Hampshire: Obama 50%, Romney 44% (New England College)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 47% (CNN/ORC)

Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen)

Ohio: Obama 47%, Romney 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (We Ask America)

Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)

Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 48% (We Ask America)

Wisconsin: Obama 52%, Romney 45% (We Ask America)

Edited by Vermin93 (11/02/12 04:03 PM)
"Florida State blew the coverage and they got rewarded for it.” Coach Brian Kelly

#3012988 - 11/02/12 04:13 PM Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 2 [Re: Vermin93]
16 Point

Registered: 11/08/03
Posts: 13854
Loc: In a tree clinging to my guns ...

I'm no longer worried about the polls or how presidential Zero may or may not look on TV when taking advantage of Hurricane Sandy photo-ops.

The reason is I know the polls are skewed (most are sampling D's at a +7 rate), and people have made their minds up. Heck, they made their minds up before the 2010 races and they haven't changed them.

#3013129 - 11/02/12 06:21 PM Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 2 [Re: farmin68]

Registered: 06/10/00
Posts: 42624
Loc: Western Ky.

Here's a different take on those same polls.
Obama, “the very danger the Constitution was designed to avoid." Liberal law professor Jonathan Turley.

#3013288 - 11/02/12 08:33 PM Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 2 [Re: Wildcat]
10 Point

Registered: 06/29/05
Posts: 4259
Loc: Back 40


#3013471 - 11/03/12 02:43 AM Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 2 [Re: TOW]
16 Point

Registered: 11/08/03
Posts: 13854
Loc: In a tree clinging to my guns ...

The polls are all over the place. These are fresh and are fro Rasmussen.

Michigan: Obama +7
Pennsylvania: Obama +5
Nevada: Obama +2
Wisconsin: Tie
Ohio: Tie
Iowa: Romney +1
Florida: Romney +2
New Hampshire: Romney +2
Virginia: Romney +2
Colorado: Romney +3
North Carolina: Romney +6

V93, the best advice I can give you if you are worrying over this is to hit the woods hard this weekend and focus on deer hunting.

If you can't stay away from checking in on the latest election news, try looking at where the Kenyan regime is campaigning and spending money on advertising, then think about it those states. Those were states he supposedly had locked down months ago. They are in a panic mode while Romney is calm, cool, collected, and focused. \:\)

#3013508 - 11/03/12 05:05 AM Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 2 [Re: farmin68]
Crappie Luck Moderator

Registered: 01/29/03
Posts: 61867
Loc: Smith Co.

Last week, the Gallup Organization provided more fodder for the debate over whether this year’s polls are skewed due to a systematic over-representation of Democrats in the samples. If Gallup has it right, Governor Romney’s lead may be several percentage points greater than the most recent round of polls suggests.

Gallup reviewed all of its interviews with “likely voters” conducted since October 1. Its conclusion: “The composition of the electorate for the 2012 presidential election is looking quite similar to what it was in 2008 as well as 2004.” Indeed, whether the sample is broken out on the basis of race, gender, level of education, or geographic location, the percentage of likely voters in each subset is no different than it was four years earlier.

But Gallup uncovered one very significant shift in this year’s voting electorate. There has been a remarkable movement toward the Republican party. As Gallup reports:

The largest changes in the composition of the electorate compared with the last presidential election concern the partisan affiliation of voters. Currently, 46% of likely voters identify as Democrats or lean Democratic, compared with 54% in 2008. But in 2008, Democrats enjoyed a wide 12-point advantage in party affiliation among national adults, the largest Gallup had seen in at least two decades. More recently, Americans have been about as likely to identify as or lean Republican as to identify as or lean Democratic. Consequently, the electorate has also become less Democratic and more Republican in its political orientation than in 2008. In fact, the party composition of the electorate this year looks more similar to the electorate in 2004 than 2008.

If anything, Gallup understates the case. In 2008, Democrats enjoyed a decisive ten-point advantage in partisan affiliation, 39 percent to 29 percent. When undecided voters were pushed to choose a party, the Democrats’ edge grew by another two points, to 54 percent to 42 percent. Yet in the Gallup polls conducted since October 1, the two parties have pulled even, with Republicans actually ahead by a statistically insignificant percentage point, 36 percent to 35 percent. After being pushed to choose a party, likely voters give the Republicans a further boost, resulting in an overall three-point advantage of 49 percent to 46 percent.

If you are keeping score, in slightly less than four years President Obama has presided over an eleven-point decrease in his party’s standing with the American people, 15 points if you include those voters who “lean” one way or the other.
"To find out who your real rulers are, simply look to those whom you CANNOT criticize..."

#3013581 - 11/03/12 07:03 AM Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 2 [Re: Crappie Luck]

Registered: 06/10/00
Posts: 42624
Loc: Western Ky.

Something else to think about.

If these polls are based on the 2008 model then Obama is doing WORSE than he did in 2008.
Obama, “the very danger the Constitution was designed to avoid." Liberal law professor Jonathan Turley.

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