#3012965 - 11/02/12 04:02 PM
Latest swing state polls - Nov 2
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Vermin93
8 Point
Registered: 12/11/10
Posts: 2195
Loc: Dallas, TX & Signal Mtn, TN
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Romney didn't win a single one of these swing state polls. 
Latest Swing State Polls
November 02, 2012
Latest Swing State Polls
Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:
Colorado: Obama 46%, Romney 46% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Colorado: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)
Colorado: Obama 47%, Romney 45% (Denver Post/SurveyUSA)
Florida: Obama 48%, Romney 46% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Iowa: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (Gravis)
Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 47% (Rasmussen)
Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)
Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 44% (Mellman)
New Hampshire: Obama 50%, Romney 44% (New England College)
Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 47% (CNN/ORC)
Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen)
Ohio: Obama 47%, Romney 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (We Ask America)
Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 48% (We Ask America)
Wisconsin: Obama 52%, Romney 45% (We Ask America)
Edited by Vermin93 (11/02/12 04:03 PM)
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#3012988 - 11/02/12 04:13 PM
Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 2
[Re: Vermin93]
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farmin68
16 Point
Registered: 11/08/03
Posts: 12437
Loc: In a tree clinging to my guns ...
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I'm no longer worried about the polls or how presidential Zero may or may not look on TV when taking advantage of Hurricane Sandy photo-ops.
The reason is I know the polls are skewed (most are sampling D's at a +7 rate), and people have made their minds up. Heck, they made their minds up before the 2010 races and they haven't changed them.
_________________________
Aim low, boys...They're riding Shetland ponies
Walking is generally considered to be a healthy practice, unless you’re a tyrant. - Joel Salatin
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#3013129 - 11/02/12 06:21 PM
Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 2
[Re: farmin68]
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Wildcat
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Registered: 06/10/00
Posts: 39096
Loc: Western Ky.
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Here's a different take on those same polls.
http://www.rove.com/articles/432
_________________________
A Government that does not trust its law abiding citizens to keep and bear arms, is itself unworthy of trust..... - James Madison
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#3013508 - 11/03/12 05:05 AM
Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 2
[Re: farmin68]
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Crappie Luck
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Registered: 01/29/03
Posts: 55999
Loc: Smith Co.
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Last week, the Gallup Organization provided more fodder for the debate over whether this year’s polls are skewed due to a systematic over-representation of Democrats in the samples. If Gallup has it right, Governor Romney’s lead may be several percentage points greater than the most recent round of polls suggests.
Gallup reviewed all of its interviews with “likely voters” conducted since October 1. Its conclusion: “The composition of the electorate for the 2012 presidential election is looking quite similar to what it was in 2008 as well as 2004.” Indeed, whether the sample is broken out on the basis of race, gender, level of education, or geographic location, the percentage of likely voters in each subset is no different than it was four years earlier.
But Gallup uncovered one very significant shift in this year’s voting electorate. There has been a remarkable movement toward the Republican party. As Gallup reports:
The largest changes in the composition of the electorate compared with the last presidential election concern the partisan affiliation of voters. Currently, 46% of likely voters identify as Democrats or lean Democratic, compared with 54% in 2008. But in 2008, Democrats enjoyed a wide 12-point advantage in party affiliation among national adults, the largest Gallup had seen in at least two decades. More recently, Americans have been about as likely to identify as or lean Republican as to identify as or lean Democratic. Consequently, the electorate has also become less Democratic and more Republican in its political orientation than in 2008. In fact, the party composition of the electorate this year looks more similar to the electorate in 2004 than 2008.
If anything, Gallup understates the case. In 2008, Democrats enjoyed a decisive ten-point advantage in partisan affiliation, 39 percent to 29 percent. When undecided voters were pushed to choose a party, the Democrats’ edge grew by another two points, to 54 percent to 42 percent. Yet in the Gallup polls conducted since October 1, the two parties have pulled even, with Republicans actually ahead by a statistically insignificant percentage point, 36 percent to 35 percent. After being pushed to choose a party, likely voters give the Republicans a further boost, resulting in an overall three-point advantage of 49 percent to 46 percent.
If you are keeping score, in slightly less than four years President Obama has presided over an eleven-point decrease in his party’s standing with the American people, 15 points if you include those voters who “lean” one way or the other.
http://www.nationalreview.com
_________________________
Compromise is surrender on an installment plan
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#3013581 - 11/03/12 07:03 AM
Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 2
[Re: Crappie Luck]
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Wildcat
Non-Typical
Registered: 06/10/00
Posts: 39096
Loc: Western Ky.
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Something else to think about.
If these polls are based on the 2008 model then Obama is doing WORSE than he did in 2008.
_________________________
A Government that does not trust its law abiding citizens to keep and bear arms, is itself unworthy of trust..... - James Madison
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