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#3010950 - 11/01/12 01:40 PM Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 1 [Re: AndyW]
farmin68
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Registered: 11/08/03
Posts: 13787
Loc: In a tree clinging to my guns ...

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 Originally Posted By: AndyW
 Originally Posted By: Crappie Luck
Don't let it get you down. Obama was 11 points up in Wisconsin two weeks ago. and now he's having to campaign in states that was "His" just last week.

They are in full panic mode

Look at this


http://unskewedpolls.com/all_11_swing_states_unskewed.cfm



NC, VA and FL are all solidly Romney and have been for the last month. Ohio is polling Romney.

LANDSLIDE!


Also, Minnesota is no longer 'safe Obama.'
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#3010952 - 11/01/12 01:41 PM Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 1 [Re: farmin68]
waynesworld
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Registered: 05/13/12
Posts: 1482
Loc: Mboro, Tennessee

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Until then, every one of us should be down on our knees every day! We should be asking God for one more opportunity for our generation to turn this country around, and prayerful that we never make such a mistake again as we did many many years ago.
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#3011153 - 11/01/12 03:37 PM Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 1 [Re: waynesworld]
Pic IN the Casa
TurdFarmer2.0
14 Point


Registered: 03/18/11
Posts: 9754
Loc: TN

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 Originally Posted By: waynesworld
Until then, every one of us should be down on our knees every day! We should be asking God for one more opportunity for our generation to turn this country around, and prayerful that we never make such a mistake again as we did many many years ago.


Here, here. Good post.
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#3011188 - 11/01/12 04:04 PM Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 1 [Re: Pic IN the Casa]
TOW
10 Point


Registered: 06/29/05
Posts: 4254
Loc: Back 40

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Only ones I trust are Rasmussen and Gallup
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#3011341 - 11/01/12 05:41 PM Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 1 [Re: Crappie Luck]
Wildcat
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Registered: 06/10/00
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Loc: Western Ky.

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 Originally Posted By: Crappie Luck
Don't let it get you down. Obama was 11 points up in Wisconsin two weeks ago. and now he's having to campaign in states that was "His" just last week.

They are in full panic mode.



Crappie is 100% right.

Wisconsin was an Obama lock and they pulled out of the state several weeks ago and now thay are having to spend millions in new TV ads in that state as well as send Bill Clinton to help out.

that was suppose to be a lock in but instead of spending more money in Ohio thay are FORCED to spend it in Wisconsin.

That is NOT the only state where Obama is coming apart.
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#3011369 - 11/01/12 05:58 PM Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 1 [Re: TOW]
citico_tim
10 Point


Registered: 10/02/02
Posts: 4563
Loc: Knoxville, TN, USA

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 Originally Posted By: TOW
Only ones I trust are Rasmussen and Gallup




You can add Susquehanna Polling & Research to the bunch. They do a lot of PA polling and were the first to predict a Romney surge in PA. Their final poll on PA is Sunday and it will IMO end up being the most accurate predictor of what is going to happen there.

As to some of the others posted, you simply cannot trust PPP. They have been caught making up data before, they are nothing but Dem cheerleaders. And you cannot trust the Marist polls which notoriously give the dems an unrealistic advantage. In their recent polls they are assuming a greater dem turnout than in 2008. That is not going to happen.

Do not assume these groups are polling to actually find the truth. Many are polling with an agenda. Some of it is intended to support the arguement that Republicans are trying to suppress votes. When they come up short they will say "see, racist voter suppression caused Obama to lose." They have to have a reason for losing other than the American people repudiated their ideology.


Even in polls that show Obama up, when you look at the details Republicans are setting records in early voting while the dems are way below their 2008 average. Gallup reports that of those that have already voted it is 52% Romney and 46% Obama. And those who plan to vote on election day it is 51% Romney / 46% Obama. The only issue is with people who haven't voted but plan on voting early: 49% to 49%. But their time is running out.

Lastly, it is worth noting that once again Obama is not enforcing laws to protect the military vote in blue states thereby giving them the opportunity to suppress our military's votes.
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#3011400 - 11/01/12 06:18 PM Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 1 [Re: citico_tim]
sawman
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Registered: 07/07/11
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The last few election cycles the Rasmussen has been the most accurate. Even more so than Gallup. Rasmussen has Romney up in every swing state except Nevada and Wisc. He has him tied in Wisc. For an incumbent president to be in a race this tight this late in the game can only mean hes in deep doodoo
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#3011427 - 11/01/12 06:33 PM Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 1 [Re: sawman]
citico_tim
10 Point


Registered: 10/02/02
Posts: 4563
Loc: Knoxville, TN, USA

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 Originally Posted By: sawman
The last few election cycles the Rasmussen has been the most accurate. Even more so than Gallup. Rasmussen has Romney up in every swing state except Nevada and Wisc. He has him tied in Wisc. For an incumbent president to be in a race this tight this late in the game can only mean hes in deep doodoo


And he can't get past 47%. A number that equals the number of Americans getting gubmint checks. Without a strong 3rd party candidate he is going to need more than 47% and simply cannot get there, legally.

I am doing my best to avoid getting my hopes up too much, but WI wasn't supposed to be a swing state and it is actually getting close in Minnesota, Michigan and shocker, even Oregon. And unbelievably he is almost within the margin of error in Connecticut. If the turnout that appears to be coming materializes, it will be a landslide. The real mystery is what will the dems pull in the next 4 days. Expect the unbelievable to surface about Sunday when there won't be time to refute it.
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"If a law is unjust, a man is not only right to disobey it, he is obligated to do so."

-Thomas Jefferson

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#3011433 - 11/01/12 06:38 PM Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 1 [Re: Wildcat]
citico_tim
10 Point


Registered: 10/02/02
Posts: 4563
Loc: Knoxville, TN, USA

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 Originally Posted By: Wildcat
 Originally Posted By: Crappie Luck
Don't let it get you down. Obama was 11 points up in Wisconsin two weeks ago. and now he's having to campaign in states that was "His" just last week.

They are in full panic mode.



Crappie is 100% right.

Wisconsin was an Obama lock and they pulled out of the state several weeks ago and now thay are having to spend millions in new TV ads in that state as well as send Bill Clinton to help out.

that was suppose to be a lock in but instead of spending more money in Ohio thay are FORCED to spend it in Wisconsin.

That is NOT the only state where Obama is coming apart.



Romney has money to spare, Obama is taking out loans from the Bank of America. In Ohio Romney is currently spending almost twice what O is spending now and commercials in PA are running 10 to 1 republican. While the dems are having to waste borrowed money on commericals in Detroit. The obvious question is why? If he can't win Detroit, the poster child of progressive policy, he'll make Custer look like a master tactician.
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"If a law is unjust, a man is not only right to disobey it, he is obligated to do so."

-Thomas Jefferson

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#3011439 - 11/01/12 06:42 PM Re: Latest swing state polls - Nov 1 [Re: citico_tim]
Crappie Luck Moderator
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lol
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