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#3009346 - 10/31/12 02:03 PM An incredibly bold prediction by Dick Morris
Vermin93
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Registered: 12/11/10
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Opinion: Here comes the landslide

I said it several weeks ago - he's either going to look brilliant or become one of the least credible political analysts out there.
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#3009356 - 10/31/12 02:09 PM Re: An incredibly bold prediction by Dick Morris [Re: ]
TennesseeRains
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 Originally Posted By: Tony(D)
Morris is a conservative puppet. Brilliance isn't a word I would use to decribe anything he has to say.



He was only brilliant when he helped Bill Clinton get re-elected.
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#3009358 - 10/31/12 02:09 PM Re: An incredibly bold prediction by Dick Morris [Re: ]
Crappie Luck Moderator
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Morris is a former Clinton advisor. He's no conservative.

Being that he has Liberal roots, he's wrong on just about everything.

I'm putting my hope into the "Almost" part of that fact. \:\)
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#3009367 - 10/31/12 02:12 PM Re: An incredibly bold prediction by Dick Morris [Re: Vermin93]
DaveB
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I do not like this guy but I agree with him. This election is going to set the Democrat party back on their heels in a big way. Think of how Carter was doing vs Reagan and how long it took to get a credible democrat candidate?
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#3009382 - 10/31/12 02:23 PM Re: An incredibly bold prediction by Dick Morris [Re: DaveB]
Vermin93
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 Originally Posted By: DaveB
I do not like this guy but I agree with him. This election is going to set the Democrat party back on their heels in a big way. Think of how Carter was doing vs Reagan and how long it took to get a credible democrat candidate?


I hope you are right but we are 6 days out and very few polls in the swing states indicate that Morris is right. If Romney wins he is going to make a lot of pollsters look really stupid....and biased.
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"Florida State blew the coverage and they got rewarded for it.” Coach Brian Kelly

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#3009406 - 10/31/12 02:37 PM Re: An incredibly bold prediction by Dick Morris [Re: Vermin93]
Crappie Luck Moderator
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Those polls are still over sampling dems.

PPP is polling +9 (D)
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#3009423 - 10/31/12 02:49 PM Re: An incredibly bold prediction by Dick Morris [Re: Crappie Luck]
AndyW
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Dick's been reading my posts. I'll say it again: Romney in a landslide.
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#3009477 - 10/31/12 03:20 PM Re: An incredibly bold prediction by Dick Morris [Re: AndyW]
Pic IN the Casa
TurdFarmer2.0
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Who was it that he called a 'P' live on aire a few years ago???
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#3009689 - 10/31/12 06:38 PM Re: An incredibly bold prediction by Dick Morris [Re: Crappie Luck]
Vermin93
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 Originally Posted By: Crappie Luck
Those polls are still over sampling dems.

PPP is polling +9 (D)


I hope you are right, because if most of these polls are accurate it's going to be 2008 part II. These poll results are current -

Latest Swing State Polls
Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:

Colorado: Obama 50%, Romney 47% (We Ask America)

Colorado: Romney 46%, Obama 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Quinnipiac)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)

Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 46% (University of Cincinnati)

Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)

Florida: Obama 48%, Romney 47% (Quinnipiac)

Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 47% (Gravis)

Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 49% (We Ask America)

Florida: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Reuters/Ipsos)

Iowa: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)

Iowa: Romney 45%, Obama 44% (University of Iowa)

Iowa: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (We Ask America)

Michigan: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Detroit News)

Michigan: Obama 48%, Romney 42% (EPIC-MRA)

North Carolina: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (Public Policy Polling)

Pennsylvania: Obama 48%, Romney 44% (Franklin and Marshall)

Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (Quinnipiac)

Virginia: Romney 49%, Obama 44% (Roanoke)

Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 46% (Reuters/Ipsos)

Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)

Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 43% (Marquette Law)
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"Florida State blew the coverage and they got rewarded for it.” Coach Brian Kelly

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#3009695 - 10/31/12 06:43 PM Re: An incredibly bold prediction by Dick Morris [Re: Vermin93]
Crappie Luck Moderator
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Here is some interesting reads on how these polls are being conducted:

CBS/New York Times/Quinnipiac Survey Narnia, Find Obama Leading (bias explained)

We’re six days out from the finish line so there’s not much time left for the press to get in their final push for their preferred candidate. Lucky for the Left there is the wonderfully incompetent trio of CBS/New York Times/Quinnipiac to rush into the fray and magically find polls with Obama winning just close enough that when it flips on election day they can shout “Margin of Error!” and head back into their cocoon.

The economy remains the paramount issue in this election with ~50% saying it is the top priority and ~20% saying it is the #2 priority across all three states polled. No other topic is even close. Despite this the lead questions in the survey were “which candidate cares about the needs and problems of people like you?”, “who cares about the middle class?” and “who cares and understands the needs and problems of women in the workplace?” I’m not making this up. These are straight out of Obama stump speeches. For the uninitiated, polling is as much art as it is science and question order greatly affects responses of those surveyed. PPP does this in a very biased way all the time which which is among the countless reasons I will never blog them. In the Q-poll, even in their pro-Obama wave of questions, when they get to whether candidate X is a strong leader, Obama still solidly lags Romney polling at ~56% while Romney polls ~64 across the 3 states.

http://battlegroundwatch.com/2012/10/31/...-obama-leading/
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