#2949079 - 09/19/12 02:02 PM
A "Landslide" Victory Predicted for Romney
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Wes Parrish
16 Point
Registered: 06/12/02
Posts: 16987
Loc: Knoxville-Dover-Union City, TN
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Did you know no U.S. President has ever captured 62% or more of the vote?
The biggest "landslide" was when Lyndon Johnson captured 61.1% of the vote over Barry Goldwater's 38.5%.
In 2008, Obama received 52.9% of the vote. That's barely over half, but was a decisive victory over McCain's 45.7%. One "wild card" is how many people vote for unelectable candidates (such as Ralph Nader, Ross Perot, or Ron Paul) thereby often indirectly helping to elect the candidate they dislike most.
Of course another "wild card" is the electoral college system, which makes relatively small victories appear larger than they were by the popular vote. But many believe the electoral college is a "fairer" way than by simply just counting the popular vote, since the electoral college puts more weighting on states geographically, and less weighting on mega-population centers such as Chicago, Los Angeles, and New York. If not for the electoral college format, presidential candidates could simply ignore most of the country, only need to campaign and appeal to the voters of the largest cities.
But since we DO have the electoral college system,
I'm now predicting a huge landslide victory for Romney.
Why?
Because America is finding out the truth about Obama, turning out many to vote against him, while many that were for him in 2008 will simply not vote at all in 2012. Again, keep in mind Obama only captured 52.9% of the vote in 2008. He's going to get a lot less this time.
Another thing. People are now more excited about Romney in Sept 2012 than they were about McCain in Sept. 2008. There were many independents who just didn't vote rather than vote for McCain. But those feel a little better about Romney, plus they REALLY want to get Obama out. So the independents will vote in higher numbers, democrats will vote in lower numbers, while republicans will vote in about the same numbers. This spells L-A-N-D-S-L-I-D-E for Romney.
http://www.listology.com/list/biggest-landslides-us-presidential-elections
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#2949081 - 09/19/12 02:06 PM
Re: A "Landslide" Victory Predicted for Romney
[Re: Wes Parrish]
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Pic IN the Casa
12 Point
Registered: 03/18/11
Posts: 5899
Loc: TN
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I wish I was as optimistic. I believe the Kenyan wins in a squeaker, thanks to OH or FL.
_________________________
Everyone who does evil hates the light, and will not come into the light for fear that their deeds will be exposed. John 3:20
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#2949093 - 09/19/12 02:10 PM
Re: A "Landslide" Victory Predicted for Romney
[Re: Wes Parrish]
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Wes Parrish
16 Point
Registered: 06/12/02
Posts: 16987
Loc: Knoxville-Dover-Union City, TN
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Well, there is at least one more "wild card".
Don't know if this is true, but was just told that the Presidential ballot counting has been outsourced to a foreign company in Spain.
That company is owned by George Soros, the one many single-most credited with getting Obama elected in 2008.
“Those who cast the votes decide nothing.
Those who count the votes decide everything”
- - - - - - - - - - Joseph Stalin
http://www.dailypaul.com/228915/spanish-...eas-in-november
And before someone says "Snopes" says this is false, rumor has it Soros also controls Snopes. We just really don't know what to believe.
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#2949094 - 09/19/12 02:10 PM
Re: A "Landslide" Victory Predicted for Romney
[Re: Pic IN the Casa]
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AndyW
10 Point
Registered: 10/21/10
Posts: 3427
Loc: Allardt, TN
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Vegas also calling for it. Vegas couldn't care less about the politics involved.
Wed Aug 1st we were all shocked at the outpouring of support for Chik Fil A. Nov 7th we're all gonna say "pack your trash, Kenyan"
_________________________
Don't mess with me. I'll run with scissors and not think twice.
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#2949103 - 09/19/12 02:16 PM
Re: A "Landslide" Victory Predicted for Romney
[Re: AndyW]
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Wes Parrish
16 Point
Registered: 06/12/02
Posts: 16987
Loc: Knoxville-Dover-Union City, TN
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Vegas couldn't care less about the politics involved.
Oh, but they do!
What happens in America happens in Vegas!
And the Vegas economy is almost as bad as Chicago's.
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#2949144 - 09/19/12 02:44 PM
Re: A "Landslide" Victory Predicted for Romney
[Re: Wes Parrish]
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muddyboots
12 Point
Registered: 11/06/02
Posts: 5918
Loc: savannah, tn., usa
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I hope yawl are right.
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X Force is Bad!
Let em go and let em grow!
There is a difference in a turkey killer and a turkey hunter!
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#2949154 - 09/19/12 02:49 PM
Re: A "Landslide" Victory Predicted for Romney
[Re: Wes Parrish]
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AndyW
10 Point
Registered: 10/21/10
Posts: 3427
Loc: Allardt, TN
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Vegas couldn't care less about the politics involved. Oh, but they do! What happens in America happens in Vegas! And the Vegas economy is almost as bad as Chicago's.
I probably wasn't clear enough. Oddsmakers calling for Romney's landslide are going to call for it with no emotion involved; the same as they would for Odingo if they thought he was the winner.
_________________________
Don't mess with me. I'll run with scissors and not think twice.
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#2949203 - 09/19/12 03:27 PM
Re: A "Landslide" Victory Predicted for Romney
[Re: AndyW]
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Encore Eye Candy
10 Point
Registered: 08/29/00
Posts: 4008
Loc: 2 Chron. 7:14: Refs signature
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Odds at one site
Obama 2/7
Romney 13/5
http://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/politi...race-e212304268
_________________________
I don't like repeat offenders. I like DEAD offenders!!
Ted Nugent
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#2949218 - 09/19/12 03:46 PM
Re: A "Landslide" Victory Predicted for Romney
[Re: Encore Eye Candy]
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Encore Eye Candy
10 Point
Registered: 08/29/00
Posts: 4008
Loc: 2 Chron. 7:14: Refs signature
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Today's odds are Barack Obama -265 and Mitt Romney +235.
http://www.gamblerspalace.com/us_president_election_odds.html
_________________________
I don't like repeat offenders. I like DEAD offenders!!
Ted Nugent
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#2949396 - 09/19/12 06:58 PM
Re: A "Landslide" Victory Predicted for Romney
[Re: Encore Eye Candy]
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preds1
10 Point
Registered: 10/16/09
Posts: 4499
Loc: Sumner County
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IF (and that's a big IF) Romney wins, it will bring the fiscal flooding to a steady stream at best, nothing more.
The damage is done.
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